Sunday, February 27, 2011

FV Trident RFI - “No evidence was led at the inquiry…”


Perhaps the most important question for the RFI, once it had established that the Trident had capsized in sea conditions that were not exceptional and that her intact stability was deficient, was whether full compliance with the IMCO minimum stability standard would have prevented Trident’s capsize and the loss of seven lives.

Unfortunately, this was one critical question that the RFI's investigators were unwilling to answer. They were prepared to answer questions that skirted this central issue, they also touched upon matters on the fringes of this issue and were happy to pontificate at great length about many things that seemed to be related, but in fact deflected attention elsewhere.

Perhaps the nearest we can get to a straight answer on this important point is contained within the Sheriff's comments in Para [41] of his final report:

The first question here is what changes would have had to have been made to the design and construction of the Trident to secure full compliance with the IMCO recommended criteria when she was built. No evidence was led at the inquiry, which would allow me to answer this question, so it is impossible to hold that, if she had been built so as to secure full compliance with these criteria, she would not have been lost.

But surely, Your Honour, as you were in charge of this £7m inquiry, you should have given directions that evidence be obtained and led on this matter?

You were eager to dismiss the results of the 1976 NMI model tests, the report from which, co-incidentally, showed that Trident would have survived if the IMCO Stability criteria had been met. In the words of Dr A. Morrall:

Experiments in breaking waves were repeated and no capsize was obtained. Test periods of up to 1 hour full scale were carried out. Motions were extremely severe and decks were very wet and an impression was gained that limiting conditions for survival had been reached.

Instead we have been asked to accept the conclusions that were drawn by a panel of experts, whose objectivity can be disputed, from a very limited and questionable set of test results from the MARIN test facility in Holland.

Question

Why was the Trident model NOT tested at the MARIN test facility in a condition representing full IMCO compliance so as to see whether or not she would capsize?

If tests had been carried out in this condition, then we would have had a straightforward and conclusive answer to the main question above.

This would not have been a difficult or expensive test to arrange, and it would have provided concrete evidence for the RFI. In fact, when a similar test was carried out at the NMI test facility in 1976 Dr Morrall commented: "this was achieved quite easily by rearranging the ballast inside the model and carrying out an inclining experiment to check"

Perhaps we already know the reasons why evidence was not sought or allowed on this point. The OAG, DfT, Seafish and a number of other parties just did not want to hear the answer that:

If Trident had met the IMCO minimum stability standard, she would have survived.

More to come…….

7 comments:

Raj said...

Gadfly,
I cannot agree more, it would have been relatively easy to achieve and I for one am positive this is the exact scenario they have been trying to avoid knowing all along the NMI report was "ticking". I will have to delve a little deeper as I am sure I recently came across proposed tests which were similar but may be mistaken.

Best Regards
Raj

Raj said...

Gadfly,
Having had a look the reference I was looking for it appeared to be the proposed tests by Brookes Bell in the court production 3.12.1 which references testing against another vessel(s) ,
When reading this report it seems from my understanding that the "limiting KG curves " were exceed in some cases for the Trident, is this the same propostion you had from an earlier post 13/05/10 or am I confusing matters ?

Best Regards Raj

Raj said...

Gadfly,
Regards the title to your post
"No evidence was lead at the inquiry"

It is now starting to make me think why ?

Best Regards

Raj

gadfly said...

We think that the tests that were proposed (including another hull) were for mathematical models of the ships hulls where they would undergo various computer simulations. We don't know whether there were any plans to carry out tests on physical models in a tank.

Limiting KG curves are just another way of looking at IMCO compliance. The curves are a linear representation of what the maximum KG(VCG) of the ship may be before any one of the 6 IMCO criteria are breached in differing sailing and loading conditions. The curves are often used by ships officers on merchant ships as it gives a quick means of checking whether their stability is OK in any sailing/loading condition. The fact that Trident exceeded the limiting KG curves is to be expected as it didn't meet all of the IMCO criteria.

Best regards

Raj said...

Gadfly,
What exactly was Sir Stephen Stewart Templeton Young, 3rd Baronet QC thinking about? I had high hopes with this man as he has no doubt had tough decisions to be make in the past I am really surprised he has in effect kowtowed to the whims of the senior council present, I realize he can only make judgement on the evidence presented but he must have had an inkling surely. It would seem totally beyond belief that the Councils and governmental bodies would have thought for one moment that IMCO compliances would not have been the main sources of contention and as such I would have thought testing of the same protocol that the NMI undertook ( in secret or results anyway) would have been order of the day.
The burning question of should the vessel have been compliant now seems obvious , well to me anyway.

Best Regards Raj

gadfly said...

Raj,

Yes, Sir Stephen Stewart Templeton Young, 3rd Baronet is a very clever man. This is obvious from the transcripts of Court evidence. What is also obvious from these Court transcripts is that he knew what was going on and was happy to assist the senior Council in delivering the desired result.
Of course, he has to give a ruling based on the evidence he sees, but how much evidence he sees is also up to him.
Don't forget that he has the power to ask for additional witnesses or evidence to be presented to him; within reason, he can do more or less what he likes.
We believe that he has an overriding responsibility to search out the truth and deliver justice.
In the Derbyshire inquiry, justice Coleman decided to sit without assessors and dismissed the report that had been prepared by initial assessors and, basically, went his own way.

Best regards

/raj said...

Gadfly,
If you wish to have my honest opinion Sir Stephen Young was totally unsupportive of the families’ position from the start however in his defence I have to say I thought he was really quite patient with some of the older witmsses. He knew the script from the start I`m afraid and acted his part with a plumb

Best Regards
Raj
Best Regards
Raj